Geneva Science and Diplomacy Anticipator

Advancing Science for Ocean Stewardship

Anticipate

Abstract

The ocean supports all life on Earth, but we’ve explored only 80% of it and an estimated 91% of ocean species have yet to be classified. It is also changing at unprecedented rates in the face of climate change, pollution and overuse by people. This demands a rapid scale-up in ocean monitoring to understand these changes and to collect valuable data before it disappears. Innovations in sensors and autonomous vehicles are needed to collect that data; new modelling technology will be needed to make sense of it. The benefits will be a wealth of genetic information with applications in pharmaceuticals and biotech as well as a better understanding of ocean ecosystems, their connectivity, and how we can manage these vast resources in a more equitable and sustainable way.
 

  • What do we not know about the ocean that we should know?
  • How can we make the best use of the vast amount of genetic data flowing from the oceans?
  • How can scientists catch up with the rapidly changing state of the ocean?
  • How can we measure the value of the oceans and share those benefits equitably before its resources are irreparably harmed or depleted?

Participants

Moderated by:
Kasmira Jefford, Editor-in-Chief, Geneva Solutions, UK

With:
Gerard Barron, CEO & Chairman, The Metals Company, Canada (remotely)
Robert Blasiak, Researcher, Stockholm Resilience Centre, USA (remotely)
Antje Boetius, Director, Alfred Wegener Institute; Marine Biologist; Leader, Helmholtz Association, German Research Centres, Germany (remotely)
Anders Meibom, Professor, EPFL’s Laboratory for Biological Geochemistry; Professor ad personam, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Lausanne, Denmark
Vladimir Ryabinin, Executive Secretary, Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of UNESCO, Russia
André Hoffmann, Businessman, Environmentalist, Philanthropist; Vice-Chairman, Hoffmann-La Roche, Switzerland

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Building Digital Models to Navigate the 21st Century’s Ecological and Social Systems

Accelerate

Abstract

Humanity created, captured, copied, and consumed more than 64 trillion gigabytes of data last year. This deluge of information is being used to try to model the world around us in unprecedented detail. That includes complex systems like cities, ecosystems, and the climate. Going forward these models will become increasingly intermeshed, creating sprawling socioecological simulations that can provide policymakers with invaluable foresight on the outcomes of economic, environmental and social policies. While those simulations, often referred to as “digital twins”, can provide knowledge about the potential evolution of a system, big data and machine learning approaches have so far failed to capture the full complexity of real-world situations and different feedback loops. Finding ways to combine models with different scales and purposes and ensuring that today’s biases and prejudices are not baked into them, will require a sustained interdisciplinary effort that includes full engagement among citizens.
 

  • Many initiatives for “digital twins” have been recently launched. To what extent will these initiatives be able to reproduce the complexity of real-world systems?
  • Can we combine models of physical reality with those simulating more intangible social phenomena?
  • How reliable are today’s leading models and how can policy makers use them wisely?
  • How can we ensure models used to guide policy are transparent, equitable and explainable?

Participants

Moderated by:
Chris Luebkeman, Leader, Strategic Foresight Hub, Office of the President, ETHZ, USA 

With:
Maurice Borgeaud, Head, Department Science Applications and Future Technologies, Directorate, Earth Observation Programmes, European Space Agency, Switzerland
Sean Cleary, Executive Vice-Chair, FutureWorld Foundation; Member, Advisory Board, Carnegie Artificial Intelligence & Equality Initiative; Managing Director, Centre for Advanced Governance; Member, GESDA Diplomacy Forum, South Africa
Neil Davies, Director, University of California’s Gump South Pacific Research Station on Moorea (French Polynesia); Research Affiliate, Berkeley Institute for Data Science; Vice President, Tetiaroa Society, USA
Dirk Helbing, Professor, Computational Social Science, Department of Humanities, Social and Political Sciences; Affiliate, Computer Science Department, ETHZ; Member, GESDA Academic Forum, Germany (remotely)
Mami Mizutori, Special Representative of the United Nations Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction; Head, UNDRR; Member, GESDA Diplomacy Forum, Japan
Philippe Gillet, Chief Science Officer, SICPA; Former Vice President, EPFL, France

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Co-Developing Accessible Advanced AI

Accelerate

Abstract

There are 56 artificial intelligence (AI) startups worth over $1 billion today. That is a testament to the enormous power of deep learning, which has found transformative applications in everything from finance to healthcare. These approaches require huge amounts of data and computational power, however, which means that advances are increasingly driven by a handful of large companies and governments. We are about to enter a “third wave” of AI that will imbue machines with “common sense” and reasoning capabilities, allowing much broader deployment, and increasing the breadth and depth of human-machine interactions. That makes it crucial that these advances are not shaped by narrow interests and that everyone can take part in the development of advanced AI and benefit from its use.
 

  • What will the next generation of AI look like and how should we best prepare for it?
  • What priorities should inform the next stage of AI development?
  • How will advanced AI be able to address global challenges differently than today’s technology?
  • What can we do to avoid “AI nationalism” and ensure broad access to the technology and applications developed on the basis of advanced AI?

Participants

Moderated by:
Amandeep Gill, Director I-DAIR project, India

With:
Pushmeet Kohli, Head, AI for Science, DeepMind, India (remotely)
Nanjira Sambuli, Policy Analyst, Advocacy Strategist; Board Member, Digital Impact Alliance, Development Gateway, and The New Humanitarian; Member, GESDA Diplomacy Forum, Kenya
Daren Tang, Director General, World Intellectual Property Organization; Member, GESDA Diplomacy Forum, Singapore
Rüdiger Urbanke, Professor of Communication Theory, EPFL; Member, GESDA Academic Forum, Austria
Wendell Wallach, Senior Advisor, The Hastings Center, United States
Ewan Birney, Deputy Director General, EMBL; Director, EMBL-EBI, UK

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Learning from COVID-19 to Prepare the Response to the Next Systemic Crisis

Anticipate

Abstract

More than 200 million people around the world have been infected by COVID-19, and the number of deaths is approaching five million. Almost six billion vaccine doses have been administered. The pandemic has put the principles and practices of multilateralism to their most severe test in decades. Many environmental, economic, and societal factors have contributed to this global health crisis, including a focus on national rather than international solutions. These trends show no signs of slowing and the next pandemic may be just around the corner. This makes it imperative to integrate the lessons of COVID-19 quickly and to start preparing our response to future systemic crises now. Tomorrow’s global challenges will be inherently transdisciplinary and transnational in nature. That means it will be crucial to break down traditional silos if we want to improve our ability to anticipate and prepare for these kinds of emergencies.
 

  • What lessons can be learned from the response to COVID-19?
  • Where is the next systemic crisis likely to come from?
  • What role should be played by the international community, both in Geneva and around the world, in preparing for the next systemic crisis?

Participants

Moderated by:
Elaine Fletcher, Editor-in-Chief, Health Policy Watch, Switzerland/USA

With:
Patrick Aebischer, President Emeritus, EPFL; Vice-Chairman GESDA, Switzerland
Chorh Chuan Tan, Chief Scientist, Ministry of Health, Singapore; Board Member, GESDA, Singapore
Matthias Egger, Professor of Bioethics, ETHZ; Founder, Health Ethics and Policy Lab, Department of Health Sciences and Technology; Board Member GESDA, Switzerland
Jeremy Farrar, Director, Wellcome Trust; Board Member, GESDA, UK
Soumya Swaminathan, Chief Scientist, World Health Organization (WHO), India

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Panel: Science as a Booster for the Future of Cities

Closing Plenary

Abstract

Cities are at the forefront of people’s concrete concerns, for example in terms of climate change or digitalization. Scientific and technological advances are already being used by some cities to innovate in this area. Others have already initiated complex modelling processes or are working on the implementation of digital democracy and are asking their inhabitants to collect data in order to better understand how they live in the city. Overall, how can science help cities and their leaders to address concrete concerns for their residents?

Participants

Moderated by:
Niniane Paeffgen, Managing Director, Swiss Digital Initiative, Switzerland

With:
Sami Kanaan, President, Geneva Cities Hub; President, Swiss Youth Commission, Switzerland
Maimunah Mohd Sharif, Executive Director, UNHabitat, Malaysia

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Summit Reporting Panel

Closing Plenary

Abstract

 Three students in science, diplomacy and business report on their experience at the GESDA Science and Diplomacy Anticipation Summit 2021.

Participants

Moderated by:
David Goodhart, Journalist, Author and Think-Tanker; Head, Demography Unit, Policy Exchange (think-tank); Member, GESDA Diplomacy Forum, UK

With:
Joseph Maggiore, Ph.D. Student in Bioengineering Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, US
Hannah Tickle, Master’s Student in Social & Organizational Psychology, University of Lausanne and London School of Economics, Switzerland/UK
Keshav Khanna, Master’s Student in International Affairs, Graduate Institute Geneva, India

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The origin of life: how science is addressing one of humanity’s most complex and profound questions
Closing Keynote Lecture

Participant

Didier Queloz, Professor of Astrophysics at ETH Zurich and Cambridge University, 2019 Nobel Prize laureate in Physics, Switzerland.

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Closing Address
Chairman, GESDA Board of Directors, Austria

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Science and theater: an experiment with The Frozen Sea

Can AI create art pieces? Theatre as a medium to provoke technology discussions

About the Playwright:
Maury Zeff is a San Francisco playwright and fiction writer whose work has been performed and published throughout the United States. He formerly worked in the tech industry in Silicon Valley and Asia, most recently as the managing director of Yahoo! Southeast Asia. His previous career left him deeply fascinated by digital technology, which he frequently explores in his plays and fiction.

Presented and reported by:
Samira Kiani, CEO and Founder, GenexGen; Director, Tomorrow.Life Initiative; Associate Professor, Liver Research Center, Department of Pathology, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, US; Member GESDA Academic Forum, US

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